Bankruptcies are expected to tick higher in 2022. Hear from 5 experts on the industries most likely to crack first.

December 30, 2021

Commercial real estate is in limbo
In November, Deloitte issued a hopeful projection for commercial real-estate prospects in 2022, citing its survey that showed members were expecting fewer vacancies in 2022. Since then, the Omicron rampage through the US has prompted a number of companies to delay or indefinitely postpone their employees’ return to the office.

“Within commercial real estate, hotels that cater to business travel are a soft spot, and core city office space is a soft spot,” Crowley said.

Some states and localities still have foreclosure moratoriums in effect, including New York, which has halted residential and commercial evictions until mid-January, though that is expected to be extended.

Real-estate owner-operators are likely candidates for distress, Patrick Collins, a partner at Farrell Fritz, said. “They still may have a lot of vacancies and nonpaying tenants because of the pandemic.”

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